Token Unlocks & Vesting
Understand vesting schedules, cliffs, dilution impacts, and how to predict price pressure from token unlocks.
What Is Token Vesting?
Vesting schedule: timeline when tokens become available to holders. Prevents founders/investors from dumping on day one. Typical structure: cliff (lock period) + linear/batch unlocking.
Understanding this concept is a prerequisite for making informed decisions in DeFi. Most losses in crypto come from misunderstanding the fundamentals.
Example: 4-year vesting with 1-year cliff = tokens locked 1 year, then 25% unlocked per year for next 3 years. Common cliff: 6 months to 2 years.
Vesting Schedule Types
Linear Vesting
Tokens unlock smoothly over time. 100 tokens over 48 months = 2.08 tokens per month. Predictable sell pressure, less price shock.
Cliff + Linear
Lock period, then linear unlock. 1-year cliff + 3-year linear = no unlock for 1 year, then 25% per year after. Price shock risk at cliff-end.
Batch Unlock
Tokens unlock in batches on specific dates. Example: 25% unlock every quarter. Similar shock risk as cliff.
How Vesting Affects Price
Cliff-end price crash: holders sell unlocked tokens. Example: $1B in tokens unlock on same date = potential $500M-$1B dump. Severity depends on: holders' cost basis, market sentiment, exchange listings.
Risk: buying right before vesting cliff-end (e.g., day 0 of year 2). Strategy: buy after unlock event when sell pressure subsides.
Token Allocation & Vesting Terms
| Category | % Allocation | Typical Vest |
|---|---|---|
| Founders | 20-30% | 4 years + 1-2 year cliff |
| Investors | 30-40% | 3-4 years + 1 year cliff |
| Community/Rewards | 30-50% | 0-1 year cliff |
Fully Diluted Value (FDV)
FDV: market cap if all tokens (including vested/unvested) were in circulation. Example: 1B token max supply × $2 price = $2B FDV. Current cap: 100M circulating × $2 = $200M. FDV/circulating cap ratio > 5x = high dilution risk.
FDV Impact Analysis
High FDV = more selling pressure ahead. Example: Optimism (OP) circulating $4B, FDV $20B = 5x dilution. After airdrops, price dropped 30-40%. Check vesting schedule before investing.
FAQ
Educational disclaimer: This guide is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto involves significant risk — do your own research before making any decisions. Learn more about our team.
Educational disclaimer: This guide is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto involves significant risk — do your own research before making any decisions. Learn more about our team.